ABSTRACT
Nucleocapsid gene-positive, envelope gene-negative (N2+/E-) SARS-CoV-2 PCR results obtained with the Cepheid Xpert Xpress SARS-CoV-2 assay are an infrequent phenomenon. We assessed the validity of the N2+/E- cases with an indirect approach by analyzing their occurrence in relation to overall positive PCR rates and absolute number of PCR tests (24,909 samples, collected June 2021 to July 2022). Additionally, 3022 samples were analyzed with the Xpert Xpress CoV-2-plus assay in August/September 2022. The incidence of monthly N2+/E- cases closely followed the overall frequency of positive tests (p < 0.001), while there was no correlation with the monthly number of PCR test. The observed distribution of N2+/E- cases implicates, that they are not merely artefacts, but rather represent samples with a very low viral load. This phenomenon will persist with the Xpert Xpress SARS-CoV-2 plus assay, which also produced more than 10% results where only one target gene replicated with a very high Ct value.
ABSTRACT
Nearly all mass gathering events worldwide were banned at the beginning of the COVID-19 pandemic, as they were suspected of presenting a considerable risk for the transmission of SARS-CoV-2. We investigated the risk of transmitting SARS-CoV-2 by droplets and aerosols during an experimental indoor mass gathering event under three different hygiene practices, and used the data in a simulation study to estimate the resulting burden of disease under conditions of controlled epidemics. Our results show that the mean number of measured direct contacts per visitor was nine persons and this can be reduced substantially by appropriate hygiene practices. A comparison of two versions of ventilation with different air exchange rates and different airflows found that the system which performed worst allowed a ten-fold increase in the number of individuals exposed to infectious aerosols. The overall burden of infections resulting from indoor mass gatherings depends largely on the quality of the ventilation system and the hygiene practices. Presuming an effective ventilation system, indoor mass gathering events with suitable hygiene practices have a very small, if any, effect on epidemic spread.